Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Urduliz FT vs Tolosa

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Urduliz FT Logo

Urduliz FT

1 - 1
FT
Tolosa Logo

Tolosa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Urduliz FT
15%
Draws
0%
Tolosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urduliz FT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Urduliz FT have won more games recently than Tolosa.
  • Urduliz FT are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Urduliz FT Clean Sheet 68%
Tolosa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urduliz FT Tolosa
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 11 3
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.24 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Tolosa
1:1
Oct 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs Urduliz FT
1:2
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs Urduliz FT
0:0
Nov 30, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Tolosa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urduliz FT 95 / 100
Tolosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urduliz FT Tolosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urduliz FT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tolosa let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Tolosa lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Urduliz FT's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Recent resilience: Urduliz FT stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Urduliz FT VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Urduliz FT

(Home)
10 May
Urduliz FT
0 : 0
Beasain
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 2
Urduliz FT
27 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 0
San Ignacio
17 Apr
Basconia
8 : 0
Urduliz FT
12 Apr
Urduliz FT
3 : 1
Leioa
Page 1 of 9

Tolosa

(Away)
29 Apr
Tolosa
3 : 4
Santutxu FC
23 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 1
Tolosa
13 Apr
Tolosa
2 : 3
Lagun Onak
09 Apr
CD Vitoria
3 : 2
Tolosa
02 Apr
Tolosa
1 : 4
Amurrio Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)