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Urgatzi vs Lagun Onak Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Urgatzi and Lagun Onak finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lagun Onak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Urgatzi
15%
Draws
85%
Lagun Onak
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lagun Onak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Lagun Onak carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lagun Onak's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Urgatzi Clean Sheet 19%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urgatzi Lagun Onak
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 3 19
Draws 2 11
Losses 25 10
Goals Scored 0.53 1.32
Goals Conceded 3.03 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urgatzi vs Lagun Onak
0:2
Apr 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Urgatzi
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urgatzi 10 / 100
Lagun Onak 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urgatzi Lagun Onak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagun Onak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lagun Onak conceded in 60% of 40 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Urgatzi's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Lagun Onak has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lagun Onak
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Urgatzi

(Home)
12 Jun
SCD Durango
1 : 0
Urgatzi
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2
Sodupe
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
23 May
Urgatzi
0 : 2
Lagun Onak
15 May
Santurtzi
4 : 1
Urgatzi
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Lagun Onak

(Away)
03 Oct
Lagun Onak
1 : 2
UD Aretxabaleta
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1
Lagun Onak
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
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