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Uritarra vs Leioa Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Uritarra Logo

Uritarra

0 - 1
FT
Leioa Logo

Leioa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 game between Uritarra and Leioa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leioa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Uritarra
20%
Draws
38%
Leioa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uritarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Uritarra haven't matched Leioa's recent run of results.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Uritarra Clean Sheet 68%
Leioa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uritarra Leioa
Matches Played 30 48
Wins 9 22
Draws 8 13
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Uritarra vs Leioa
0:1
Nov 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Uritarra
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uritarra 41 / 100
Leioa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uritarra Leioa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uritarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uritarra found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Leioa conceded in 65% of 48 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Uritarra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leioa
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uritarra

(Home)
30 Apr
Uritarra
2 : 1
Lagun Onak
23 Apr
CD Vitoria
1 : 0
Uritarra
13 Apr
Uritarra
1 : 0
Amurrio Club
09 Apr
Pasaia
0 : 2
Uritarra
02 Apr
Uritarra
2 : 3
Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6

Leioa

(Away)
04 Oct
Amurrio Club
0 : 5
Leioa
26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1
Eibar C
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)