Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Club Oriental De Futbol

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Viera M.
90' Event
Rigoleto M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Uruguay Montevideo FC and Club Oriental De Futbol finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Uruguay Montevideo FC
33%
Draws
40%
Club Oriental De Futbol
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Club Oriental De Futbol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Oriental De Futbol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Club Oriental De Futbol a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Uruguay Montevideo FC Clean Sheet 16%
Club Oriental De Futbol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay Montevideo FC Club Oriental De Futbol
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Club Oriental De Futbol
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Club Oriental De Futbol
0:4
Jun 21, 2025 Segunda Division
Club Oriental De Futbol vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Segunda Division
Club Oriental De Futbol vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
0:2
Jun 2, 2024 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Club Oriental De Futbol
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay Montevideo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Viera M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Club Oriental De Futbol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay Montevideo FC 28 / 100
Club Oriental De Futbol 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay Montevideo FC Club Oriental De Futbol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uruguay Montevideo FC scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Club Oriental De Futbol has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Uruguay Montevideo FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay Montevideo FC VS Club Oriental De Futbol
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay Montevideo FC

(Home)
18 Jul
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 1
River Plate Montevideo
12 Jul
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
05 Jul
Colon
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
27 Jun
Uruguay Montevideo FC
3 : 2
Fenix
21 Jun
Rentistas
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
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Club Oriental De Futbol

(Away)
18 Jul
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 0
Huracan FC
12 Jul
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
04 Jul
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 2
River Plate Montevideo
28 Jun
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 1
Colon
20 Jun
Fenix
2 : 2
Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atenas1061318:1119
2Cerrito1154215:1319
3River Plate Montevideo1153318:1718
4Plaza Colonia1151512:1116
5Club Oriental De Futbol1136216:1315
6Colon1143412:1215
7Rentistas1143411:1315
8Tacuarembo114258:1214
9Fenix1034314:1213
10Miramar1034314:1213
11La Luz103438:813
12Paysandu FC1141615:1713
13Huracan FC113358:1312
14Uruguay Montevideo FC1123611:169
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)