Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uruguay U17 vs Paraguay U17

South America South America

South American Championship U17 Estadio Carfem, Ypané
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Luz A.
25' Event
Lopez V.
Assist: Salinas H.
37'
Jara T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this South American Championship U17 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Uruguay U17
20%
Draws
10%
Paraguay U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uruguay U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Uruguay U17 average 1.23 goals a game right now, well clear of Paraguay U17's 1.13.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Uruguay U17 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship U17 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Uruguay U17 Clean Sheet 18%
Paraguay U17 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay U17 Paraguay U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 South American Championship U17
Uruguay U17 vs Paraguay U17
1:1
May 19, 2022 Friendly International
Paraguay U17 vs Uruguay U17
1:3
Apr 2, 2019 South American Championship U17
Uruguay U17 vs Paraguay U17
2:2
Mar 28, 2019 South American Championship U17
Paraguay U17 vs Uruguay U17
3:2
Mar 29, 2015 South American Championship U17
Paraguay U17 vs Uruguay U17
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mora T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Paraguay U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay U17 85 / 100
Paraguay U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay U17 Paraguay U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uruguay U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Uruguay U17's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Paraguay U17 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Uruguay U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay U17 VS Paraguay U17
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay U17

(Home)
18 Apr
Uruguay U17
2 : 3
Chile U17
16 Apr
Uruguay U17
3 : 0
Venezuela U17
09 Apr
Colombia U17
0 : 2
Uruguay U17
07 Apr
Ecuador U17
2 : 1
Uruguay U17
05 Apr
Uruguay U17
1 : 1
Paraguay U17
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Paraguay U17

(Away)
12 Apr
Paraguay U17
0 : 2
Colombia U17
09 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 0
Paraguay U17
05 Apr
Uruguay U17
1 : 1
Paraguay U17
03 Apr
Paraguay U17
1 : 2
Ecuador U17
14 Nov
Brazil U17
1 : 0
Paraguay U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ecuador U17 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Colombia U17 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Uruguay U17 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
4 Chile U17 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
5 Paraguay U17 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - South American Championship U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - South American Championship U17 (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U17 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Argentina U17 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
3 Bolivia U17 4 1 2 1 5:8 5
4 Venezuela U17 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Peru U17 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - South American Championship U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - South American Championship U17 (5th-8th places)