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Stadium Background

Uruguay U20 vs Brazil U20

South America South America

South American Championship U20 Estadio Brigido Iriarte, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Arthur Dias
45'
Nathan Fernandes
57'
Arthur Dias

AI Match Summary

Brazil U20 in this South American Championship U20 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brazil U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Uruguay U20
15%
Draws
80%
Brazil U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brazil U20 lately — more wins on the board than Uruguay U20.
  • Model gives Brazil U20 a 80% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Brazil U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Uruguay U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Brazil U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay U20 Brazil U20
Matches Played 23 25
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.52 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.45 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2025 South American Championship U20
Uruguay U20 vs Brazil U20
0:1
Feb 12, 2023 South American Championship U20
Brazil U20 vs Uruguay U20
2:0
Sep 9, 2022 Friendly International
Uruguay U20 vs Brazil U20
0:1
Jun 12, 2022 Friendly International
Brazil U20 vs Uruguay U20
7:0
Feb 4, 2019 South American Championship U20
Brazil U20 vs Uruguay U20
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.23

Brazil U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay U20 10 / 100
Brazil U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay U20 Brazil U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brazil U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Uruguay U20 found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (23 games).

Brazil U20 has conceded goals in 64% of their last 25 outings.

Recent resilience: Uruguay U20 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay U20 VS Brazil U20
0.4 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
40% Over 1.5 75%
20% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay U20

(Home)
27 Aug
Uruguay U20
2 : 3
Paraguay U20
25 Aug
Uruguay U20
0 : 2
Paraguay U20
16 Feb
Uruguay U20
1 : 3
Colombia U20
13 Feb
Paraguay U20
1 : 0
Uruguay U20
11 Feb
Chile U20
1 : 1
Uruguay U20
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Brazil U20

(Away)
12 Aug
Brazil U20
2 : 0
Bolivia U20
09 Aug
Brazil U20
2 : 0
Bolivia U20
06 Jun
Chile U20
0 : 1
Brazil U20
31 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
28 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U20 5 4 1 0 9:2 13
2 Argentina U20 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
3 Colombia U20 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
4 Paraguay U20 5 3 0 2 7:10 9
5 Uruguay U20 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
6 Chile U20 5 0 1 4 4:11 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Main)