Sport Picks
US Pontedera vs Gubbio
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Ettore Mannucci, Pontedera 
Match Events
3'
3'
Varone I.
10'
10'
Sapola M.
46'
46'
Sub
Manfredonia M. In: Faggi F.
Out: Manfredonia M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gubbio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gubbio lately — more wins on the board than US Pontedera.
- Win probability leans Gubbio's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
US Pontedera Clean Sheet 14%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | US Pontedera | Gubbio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 1 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.78 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Gubbio
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs US Pontedera
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Gubbio
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs US Pontedera
0:1
Apr 14, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs US Pontedera
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
US Pontedera Compare
Top Goalscorer Faggi F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42
Gubbio Compare
Top Goalscorer Varone I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
US Pontedera 10 / 100
Gubbio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
US Pontedera Gubbio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gubbio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gubbio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
US Pontedera's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Recent resilience: US Pontedera stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
US Pontedera VS Gubbio
0.57 Goals Scored 1.63
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
US Pontedera
(Home) 16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0 US Pontedera
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1 US Pontedera
12 Aug
Tau
0 : 1 US Pontedera
26 Apr
US Pontedera
0 : 2 Livorno
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12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
26 Apr
US Pontedera
0 : 2 Livorno
12 Apr
US Pontedera
0 : 1 Ravenna
29 Mar
US Pontedera
0 : 0 Bra
14 Mar
US Pontedera
0 : 1 Guidonia 1937
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Gubbio
(Away) 16 Sept
Pescara
1 : 1 Gubbio
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1 Latina
05 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 4 Gubbio
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0 Vis Pesaro
30 Aug
Gubbio
1 : 2 Reggiana
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16 Sept
Pescara
1 : 1 Gubbio
05 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 4 Gubbio
22 Aug
Guidonia 1937
3 : 0 Gubbio
14 Aug
Pineto
1 : 2 Gubbio
22 Jul
Fiorentina
1 : 0 Gubbio
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
