Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023

US Tolentino

1 - 1

Vigor Senigallia

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Mori N.

45'

Rozzi N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 game between US Tolentino and Vigor Senigallia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

US Tolentino

39%

Draws

30%

Vigor Senigallia

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Vigor Senigallia come out ahead of US Tolentino on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%

US Tolentino Clean Sheet 19%

Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	US Tolentino	Vigor Senigallia
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	6	11
Draws	8	13
Losses	16	7
Goals Scored	0	1.38
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group F

US Tolentino vs Vigor Senigallia

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Oct 9, 2022 Serie D - Group F

Vigor Senigallia vs US Tolentino

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

US Tolentino Compare

Top Goalscorer Rozzi N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Vigor Senigallia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mori N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Tolentino 32 / 100

Vigor Senigallia 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

US Tolentino Vigor Senigallia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigor Senigallia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

US Tolentino went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

US Tolentino scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vigor Senigallia

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pineto	34	21	9	4	50:21	72
2	Vigor Senigallia	34	20	7	7	52:34	67
3	Trastevere Calcio	34	18	8	8	56:41	62
4	Fano	34	18	6	10	45:34	60
5	Cynthialbalonga	34	13	13	8	32:23	52
6	Matese	34	12	11	11	44:38	47
7	Sambenedettese	34	13	8	13	39:37	46
8	Calcio Chieti	34	12	10	12	29:27	46
9	Porto D'Ascoli	34	10	15	9	28:27	45
10	Vastogirardi	34	10	13	11	30:31	42
11	Nuova Florida	34	11	9	14	33:44	42
12	Avezzano	34	11	7	16	35:41	40
13	Roma City	34	9	10	15	29:42	37
14	Vastese	34	8	12	14	37:43	36
15	Termoli	34	5	19	10	25:34	34
16	Notaresco Calcio	34	6	13	15	23:41	31
17	Montegiorgio	34	7	10	17	21:34	31
18	US Tolentino	34	7	10	17	25:41	31