Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USA U17 vs United States Virgin Islands U17

World World

World Cup U17 2025 Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Cowell C.
5' Event
Carrizo M.
8' Event
Adams C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 22-0, with USA U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
USA U17
6%
Draws
4%
United States Virgin Islands U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: USA U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USA U17 come out ahead of United States Virgin Islands U17 on wins alone.
  • Model gives USA U17 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • USA U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor USA U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
USA U17 Clean Sheet 15%
United States Virgin Islands U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U17 United States Virgin Islands U17
Matches Played 34 11
Wins 22 0
Draws 1 0
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 5.25 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.38 12.33
Expected Goals (xG) 5.25 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 12.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2025 World Cup U17
USA U17 vs United States Virgin Islands U17
22:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams C.
10 Goals
Assists Leader Carrizo M.
4 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.04
Avg xA / game 2.63

United States Virgin Islands U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U17 84 / 100
United States Virgin Islands U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U17 United States Virgin Islands U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U17's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

United States Virgin Islands U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 11 matches.

Games between these two average 22.00 goals.

Difficult form: United States Virgin Islands U17 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USA U17 VS United States Virgin Islands U17
5.25 Goals Scored 1.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 12.33
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U17

(Home)
10 Jun
Brazil U17
1 : 0
USA U17
07 Jun
Brazil U17
4 : 0
USA U17
10 Feb
USA U17
1 : 1
Dominican Republic U17
08 Feb
Saint Kitts and Nevis U17
0 : 10
USA U17
05 Feb
USA U17
8 : 0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17
Page 1 of 7

United States Virgin Islands U17

(Away)
15 Feb
Saint Kitts and Nevis U17
9 : 2
United States Virgin Islands U17
12 Feb
United States Virgin Islands U17
3 : 6
Cuba U17
11 Feb
USA U17
22 : 0
United States Virgin Islands U17
06 Sept
Anguilla U17
2 : 0
United States Virgin Islands U17
04 Sept
United States Virgin Islands U17
0 : 12
Martinique U17
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canada U17440028:212
2Curacao U17430113:109
3Bermuda U17420210:146
4Turks and Caicos Islands U1741033:133
5Anguilla U1740043:180
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Costa Rica U17431021:210
2Trinidad & Tobago U17421113:47
3Guyana U1741307:46
4British Virgin Islands U1741126:94
5Sint Maarten U1740040:280
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico U17431019:210
2Nicaragua U17431013:310
3Barbados U1742025:156
4Belize U17410310:83
5Dominica U1740041:200
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Honduras U17330012:19
2Puerto Rico U1732016:16
3Saint Martin U1731025:73
4Bonaire U1730031:150
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti U17330010:09
2Guatemala U1732017:36
3Antigua and Barbuda U1731024:63
4Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U1730031:130
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA U17330031:09
2Cuba U1732019:66
3Saint Kitts and Nevis U17310210:123
4United States Virgin Islands U1730035:370
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panama U17330013:19
2Dominican Republic U1732016:26
3Aruba U1731022:53
4Grenada U1730031:140
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador U17330012:19
2Jamaica U17320114:46
3Saint Lucia U1731026:53
4Cayman Islands U1730031:230
Promotion - World Cup U17 2025 (Main)