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USA U17 W vs North Korea U17 W

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World Cup Women U17 2024 Estadio Cibao FC
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AI Match Summary

USA U17 W play North Korea U17 W in the World Cup Women U17 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, USA U17 W averaged 3.55 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. North Korea U17 W averaged 3.7 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, USA U17 W won 0, North Korea U17 W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 30, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.06 for USA U17 W and 2.81 for North Korea U17 W. This points to a North Korea U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
USA U17 W
15%
Draws
48%
North Korea U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Korea U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • USA U17 W picked up more points recently compared to North Korea U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.06 vs 2.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
USA U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
North Korea U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U17 W North Korea U17 W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 28
Draws 2 0
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 3.55 3.7
Goals Conceded 0.84 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 5.88 5.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2024 World Cup Women U17
USA U17 W vs North Korea U17 W
0:1
Nov 17, 2018 World Cup Women U17
USA U17 W vs North Korea U17 W
0:3
Sep 29, 2012 World Cup Women U17
USA U17 W vs North Korea U17 W
1:1
Nov 16, 2008 World Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs USA U17 W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 4.52
Avg xA / game 2.94

North Korea U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ro Un-Hyang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 4.89
Avg xA / game 2.99

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U17 W 35 / 100
North Korea U17 W 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U17 W North Korea U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: North Korea U17 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

USA U17 W attacking → ← attacking North Korea U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U17 W scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

North Korea U17 W let in goals in 33% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

USA U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

North Korea U17 W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 84
5.88 Goals expected (xG) 5.38
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25