Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Karsiyaka

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Sezgin O. F.
Assist: Aslan M.
52' Event
Barlik E.
Assist: Altinsoy V.
59' Event
Aslan M.
Assist: Ozturk E.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Usak Belediyespor Kulubu and Karsiyaka finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karsiyaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
6%
Draws
90%
Karsiyaka
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karsiyaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karsiyaka come out ahead of Usak Belediyespor Kulubu on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Karsiyaka's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Clean Sheet 10%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Karsiyaka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 18
Draws 3 8
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1 4
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Karsiyaka
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Karsiyaka vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Compare

Top Goalscorer Barlik E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Karsiyaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Sezgin O. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aslan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 10 / 100
Karsiyaka 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Karsiyaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Usak Belediyespor Kulubu scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Karsiyaka let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu VS Karsiyaka
1 Goals Scored 4
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

(Home)
18 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
12 Apr
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 1
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
05 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0 : 1
Eskisehir Anadolu
29 Mar
Alanya 1221
1 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
25 Mar
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0 : 2
Balikesirspor
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Karsiyaka

(Away)
28 Apr
Karsiyaka
0 : 2
Ayvalikgucu
24 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0
Karsiyaka
18 Apr
Tire 2021 FK
1 : 1
Karsiyaka
12 Apr
Karsiyaka
5 : 0
Soke 1970
05 Apr
Bornova 1877
0 : 5
Karsiyaka
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)