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Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Nazillispor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Sat, Apr 18, 2026
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu host Nazillispor in the 3. Lig Group 4. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Nazillispor have shipped 7 goals a game lately, while Usak Belediyespor Kulubu have conceded 1.13 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Usak Belediyespor Kulubu slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (4.00 - 0.63) back Usak Belediyespor Kulubu to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
6%
Draws
4%
Nazillispor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Usak Belediyespor Kulubu come out ahead of Nazillispor on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Usak Belediyespor Kulubu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Usak Belediyespor Kulubu here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Clean Sheet 20%
Nazillispor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Nazillispor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 0
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 26
Goals Scored 1 0.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 7.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Nazillispor
3:0
Dec 20, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Nazillispor vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0:2
Mar 30, 2022 2. Lig White Group
Nazillispor vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0:1
Nov 14, 2021 2. Lig White Group
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Nazillispor
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 85 / 100
Nazillispor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Nazillispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nazillispor conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Nazillispor lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu VS Nazillispor
1 Goals Scored 0.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 7
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

(Home)
18 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
12 Apr
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 1
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
05 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0 : 1
Eskisehir Anadolu
29 Mar
Alanya 1221
1 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
25 Mar
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0 : 2
Balikesirspor
Page 1 of 6

Nazillispor

(Away)
18 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
12 Apr
Nazillispor
0 : 3
Altay
05 Apr
Afyonspor
3 : 0
Nazillispor
28 Mar
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
24 Mar
Nazillispor
0 : 12
Eskisehir Anadolu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)