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USFA vs ASFA Yennega

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade de l'USFA
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USFA play ASFA Yennega in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, USFA averaged 1 goals scored and 0.59 conceded. ASFA Yennega averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, USFA won 2, ASFA Yennega won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 15, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for USFA and 0.88 for ASFA Yennega. This points to a USFA double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
USFA
35%
Draws
29%
ASFA Yennega
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: USFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • USFA picked up more points recently compared to ASFA Yennega.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
USFA Clean Sheet 25%
ASFA Yennega Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 43%
Second Half Goal 46%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USFA ASFA Yennega
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 14 11
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.59 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Premier League
USFA vs ASFA Yennega
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs USFA
0:1
Feb 10, 2025 Premier League
USFA vs ASFA Yennega
1:1
Dec 11, 2024 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs USFA
1:1
May 19, 2024 Premier League
USFA vs ASFA Yennega
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanou D. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

ASFA Yennega Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USFA 37 / 100
ASFA Yennega 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USFA ASFA Yennega

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: USFA or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +40.1%
6.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

USFA attacking → ← attacking ASFA Yennega

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USFA scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

ASFA Yennega let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

USFA went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

ASFA Yennega lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 38
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rahimo30209147:1569
2USFA301213531:1749
3Sporting Cascades301013725:1843
4AS Douanes301013729:2943
5Majestic301110926:2743
6CFFEB3010101025:2540
7Salitas3010101029:3140
8Kadiogo301081227:2738
9ASFA Yennega309111024:2838
10Vitesse309101125:2537
11Real Du Faso309101121:2337
12ASF Dioulasso309101125:3137
13Sonabel Ouagadougou308121024:2836
14Etoile Filante307121122:2933
15Bobo-Dioulasso30691511:2827
16AJE Bobo-Dioulasso30681627:3726