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USFAS Bamako vs Djoliba Prediction & H2H Stats

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Djoliba in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Djoliba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
USFAS Bamako
20%
Draws
40%
Djoliba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • USFAS Bamako haven't matched Djoliba's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Djoliba have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
USFAS Bamako Clean Sheet 68%
Djoliba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USFAS Bamako Djoliba
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 21
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.57 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs USFAS Bamako
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Djoliba
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs USFAS Bamako
0:0
Dec 11, 2024 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Djoliba
1:2
Mar 24, 2024 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Djoliba
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USFAS Bamako 42 / 100
Djoliba 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USFAS Bamako Djoliba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USFAS Bamako's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: USFAS Bamako stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Djoliba conceded in 45% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

USFAS Bamako VS Djoliba
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USFAS Bamako

(Home)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
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Djoliba

(Away)
12 Sept
Djoliba
2 : 2
Club Africain
05 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0
Djoliba
14 Jun
Korofina
1 : 3
Djoliba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)