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USM Oujda vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Botola 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
USM Oujda
40%
Draws
29%
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • USM Oujda haven't matched Chabab Atlas Khenifra's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Botola 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 20%
Chabab Atlas Khenifra Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Oujda Chabab Atlas Khenifra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Botola 2
Chabab Atlas Khenifra vs USM Oujda
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Botola 2
Chabab Atlas Khenifra vs USM Oujda
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Oujda 32 / 100
Chabab Atlas Khenifra 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Oujda Chabab Atlas Khenifra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

USM Oujda has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

USM Oujda found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Chabab Atlas Khenifra has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

USM Oujda VS Chabab Atlas Khenifra
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Oujda

(Home)
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
20 Jun
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
2 : 0
USM Oujda
13 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 0
US Boujaad
06 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
2 : 1
USM Oujda
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Chabab Atlas Khenifra

(Away)
05 Jul
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
0 : 1
Amal Tiznit
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
20 Jun
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
2 : 1
KAC Kenitra
13 Jun
Raja Beni Mellal
3 : 0
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
07 Jun
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1 : 0
Chabab Mohammedia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moghreb Tetouan301411533:2253
2Widad Temara301314336:2653
3Amal Tiznit301016436:2646
4Jeunesse Massira301111829:2144
5Chabab Atlas Khenifra301110926:2443
6Jeunesse Sportive Soualem301012837:3542
7Stade Marocain301181123:2441
8Wydad Fes309111034:3038
9Mouloudia Oujda30813935:3837
10Chabab Benguerir30813925:2837
11USM Oujda309101129:3037
12Chabab Mohammedia30991225:3736
13KAC Kenitra308121035:3636
14US Boujaad30714925:2235
15Raja Beni Mellal307111225:3232
16RAC Casablanca30391821:4318
Promotion - Botola Pro 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)