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USM Oujda vs TAS Casablanca Prediction & H2H Stats

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Botola 2 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
64' Event
64' Event
Assoufi B.

AI Match Summary

The Botola 2 2021/2022 game between USM Oujda and TAS Casablanca finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TAS Casablanca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
USM Oujda
30%
Draws
23%
TAS Casablanca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USM Oujda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USM Oujda come out ahead of TAS Casablanca on wins alone.
  • Model gives USM Oujda a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Botola 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 20%
TAS Casablanca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Oujda TAS Casablanca
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.08 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs TAS Casablanca
1:2
Oct 16, 2021 Botola 2
TAS Casablanca vs USM Oujda
0:1
May 20, 2017 Coupe du Trone
TAS Casablanca vs USM Oujda
6:3
Jun 2, 2013 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs TAS Casablanca
2:1
Sep 15, 2012 Botola 2
TAS Casablanca vs USM Oujda
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USM Oujda Compare

Top Goalscorer Assoufi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

TAS Casablanca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Oujda 58 / 100
TAS Casablanca 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Oujda TAS Casablanca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Oujda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

USM Oujda scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Defensive concern: TAS Casablanca conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: USM Oujda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USM Oujda VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Oujda

(Home)
04 Oct
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
20 Jun
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
2 : 0
USM Oujda
Page 1 of 8

TAS Casablanca

(Away)
06 Apr
TAS Casablanca
0 : 2
Union Touarga
28 Mar
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 2
TAS Casablanca
09 Feb
TAS Casablanca
0 : 1
Difaa El Jadidi
28 May
Dcheira
0 : 0
TAS Casablanca
22 May
TAS Casablanca
2 : 2
RAC Casablanca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moghreb Tetouan 30 20 6 4 47:19 66
2 Union Touarga 30 15 10 5 40:31 55
3 Renaissance Zemamra 30 12 8 10 39:32 44
4 Dcheira 30 10 14 6 28:22 44
5 Jeunesse Massira 30 11 8 11 25:33 41
6 Stade Marocain 30 9 13 8 36:34 40
7 Sale 30 10 10 10 32:33 40
8 Ittihad Khemisset 30 11 6 13 27:32 39
9 Chabab Benguerir 30 9 10 11 23:24 37
10 Raja Beni Mellal 30 8 13 9 24:30 37
11 RAC Casablanca 30 9 9 12 33:39 36
12 Wydad Fes 30 8 11 11 30:33 35
13 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 30 7 13 10 29:29 34
14 USM Oujda 30 8 10 12 34:36 34
15 TAS Casablanca 30 8 10 12 27:31 34
16 Kawkab Marrakech 30 5 9 16 27:43 24
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