Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Vasquez S.
36'
36'
Savenas M.
80'
80'
Hernandez Garcia J. E.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The I Lyga 2018 game between Utenis and Dainava Alytus finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dainava Alytus
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Utenis haven't matched Dainava Alytus's recent run of results.
- Model gives Dainava Alytus a 49% chance of winning this.
- Regular I Lyga 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Utenis Clean Sheet 14%
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Utenis | Dainava Alytus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2018 I Lyga
Utenis vs Dainava Alytus
2:2
Jun 3, 2018 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs Utenis
1:2
Sep 20, 2008 I Lyga
Utenis vs Dainava Alytus
1:5
Jun 24, 2008 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs Utenis
4:1
Oct 16, 2005 I Lyga
Utenis vs Dainava Alytus
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Utenis Compare
Top Goalscorer Savenas M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Dainava Alytus Compare
Top Goalscorer Vasquez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Utenis 10 / 100
Dainava Alytus 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Utenis Dainava Alytus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dainava Alytus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Utenis scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Dainava Alytus's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Dainava Alytus has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Dainava Alytus
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Utenis
(Home) 29 Apr
Utenis
1 : 5 Tauras Taurage
07 May
Utenis
0 : 5 FK Panevezys
22 May
Utenis
0 : 3 Silute
30 Jun
Utenis
0 : 2 FK Sveikata Kybartai
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1 Atlantas
Page 1 of 6
29 Apr
Utenis
1 : 5 Tauras Taurage
07 May
Utenis
0 : 5 FK Panevezys
22 May
Utenis
0 : 3 Silute
30 Jun
Utenis
0 : 2 FK Sveikata Kybartai
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1 Atlantas
Page 1 of 4
Dainava Alytus
(Away) 18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1 Dainava Alytus
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3 FK Minija
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0 Dainava Alytus
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2 Dainava Alytus
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1 Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1 Dainava Alytus
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0 Dainava Alytus
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2 Dainava Alytus
12 Jun
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 2 Dainava Alytus
19 May
Klaipedos FM
0 : 2 Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Panevezys | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 77:26 | 58 |
| 2 | Dainava Alytus | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 57 |
| 3 | Banga | 26 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 51:24 | 54 |
| 4 | Nevezis Kedainiai | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 63:31 | 53 |
| 5 | Dziugas Telsiai | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 49:34 | 45 |
| 6 | Vilniaus Vytis | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 67:44 | 44 |
| 7 | FC Pakruojis | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 44:44 | 42 |
| 8 | Utenis | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 46:33 | 41 |
| 9 | FC Stumbras 2 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 36 |
| 10 | BE1 NFA | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 44:45 | 27 |
| 11 | Riteriai 2 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 39:59 | 26 |
| 12 | Zalgiris 2 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 26:57 | 21 |
| 13 | Kupiskis | 26 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 46:91 | 14 |
| 14 | Koralas Klaipeda | 26 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 5:111 | 3 |
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2018 (Relegation - Play Offs)
