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Utenis vs Dziugas Telsiai Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Rapalavicius T.
59' Event
Rapalavicius T.
61' Event
Ubeika M.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2018 game between Utenis and Dziugas Telsiai finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dziugas Telsiai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Utenis
15%
Draws
21%
Dziugas Telsiai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Utenis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Utenis haven't matched Dziugas Telsiai's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Utenis Clean Sheet 16%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utenis Dziugas Telsiai
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2018 I Lyga
Dziugas Telsiai vs Utenis
1:0
Jun 24, 2018 I Lyga
Utenis vs Dziugas Telsiai
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Ubeika M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Rapalavicius T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utenis 31 / 100
Dziugas Telsiai 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utenis Dziugas Telsiai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dziugas Telsiai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utenis's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Dziugas Telsiai registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Dziugas Telsiai conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dziugas Telsiai
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Utenis

(Home)
29 Apr
Utenis
1 : 5
Tauras Taurage
07 May
Utenis
0 : 5
FK Panevezys
22 May
Utenis
0 : 3
Silute
30 Jun
Utenis
0 : 2
FK Sveikata Kybartai
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1
Atlantas
Page 1 of 6

Dziugas Telsiai

(Away)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Panevezys 26 18 4 4 77:26 58
2 Dainava Alytus 26 17 6 3 59:22 57
3 Banga 26 18 0 8 51:24 54
4 Nevezis Kedainiai 26 16 5 5 63:31 53
5 Dziugas Telsiai 26 14 3 9 49:34 45
6 Vilniaus Vytis 26 13 5 8 67:44 44
7 FC Pakruojis 26 13 3 10 44:44 42
8 Utenis 26 12 5 9 46:33 41
9 FC Stumbras 2 26 10 6 10 42:37 36
10 BE1 NFA 26 8 3 15 44:45 27
11 Riteriai 2 26 7 5 14 39:59 26
12 Zalgiris 2 26 6 3 17 26:57 21
13 Kupiskis 26 4 2 20 46:91 14
14 Koralas Klaipeda 26 1 0 25 5:111 3
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2018 (Relegation - Play Offs)