Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Cathline Y.
53'
53'
Cathline Y.
Assist: de Wit D.
60'
60'
Slory J.
Assist: van Crooij V.
AI Match Summary
The Eredivisie game between Utrecht and Willem II finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utrecht.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Utrecht
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Utrecht haven't matched Willem II's recent run of results.
- Model gives Utrecht a 65% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Utrecht here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Utrecht Clean Sheet 14%
Willem II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Utrecht | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 13 | 19 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 3.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 11, 2026 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Willem II
3:1
Mar 9, 2025 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Utrecht
2:3
Sep 21, 2024 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Willem II
3:2
May 15, 2022 Eredivisie
Willem II vs Utrecht
3:0
Oct 31, 2021 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Willem II
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Utrecht Compare
Top Goalscorer Cathline Y.
2 Goals Assists Leader Alarcon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Willem II Compare
Top Goalscorer Slory J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Utrecht 48 / 100
Willem II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Utrecht Willem II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Utrecht Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 9:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.60 goals.
Utrecht scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Willem II has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.
Recent resilience: Utrecht stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Utrecht VS Willem II
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Utrecht
(Home) 01 Nov
Telstar
4 : 2 Utrecht
29 Oct
Kozakken Boys
0 : 1 Utrecht
24 Oct
Utrecht
1 : 1 Zwolle
18 Oct
Twente
1 : 2 Utrecht
11 Oct
Utrecht
3 : 1 Willem II
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Utrecht
1 : 1 Zwolle
11 Oct
Utrecht
3 : 1 Willem II
08 Sept
Utrecht
3 : 3 G.A. Eagles
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6 PSV
15 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 4 AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 3
Willem II
(Away) 31 Oct
PSV
7 : 0 Willem II
27 Oct
Helmond Sport
3 : 4 Willem II
24 Oct
Willem II
1 : 6 Cambuur
17 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2 Willem II
11 Oct
Utrecht
3 : 1 Willem II
Page 1 of 7
31 Oct
PSV
7 : 0 Willem II
27 Oct
Helmond Sport
3 : 4 Willem II
17 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2 Willem II
11 Oct
Utrecht
3 : 1 Willem II
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1 Willem II
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Ajax | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Twente | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Sittard | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 | Groningen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 | Nijmegen | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
