Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Utrecht host Willem II in the Eredivisie. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Utrecht have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Willem II's 1.89 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Utrecht slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2025, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.56 - 1.75) back Willem II to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Utrecht haven't matched Willem II's recent run of results.
- Model gives Utrecht a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Utrecht here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Utrecht | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.80 goals.
Utrecht scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Willem II has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Utrecht stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Utrecht
(Home)Willem II
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Ajax | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Twente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 10 |
| 8 | Sittard | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:14 | 10 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15:13 | 9 |
| 10 | Nijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 5 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Cambuur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:18 | 4 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | Willem II | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:19 | 2 |
| 18 | Den Haag | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | 1 |
