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UWI Blackbirds vs Ellerton FC

Barbados Barbados

Premier League
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AI Match Summary

Ellerton FC in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ellerton FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
UWI Blackbirds
33%
Draws
40%
Ellerton FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ellerton FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ellerton FC have won more games recently than UWI Blackbirds.
  • Model gives Ellerton FC a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ellerton FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
UWI Blackbirds Clean Sheet 13%
Ellerton FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UWI Blackbirds Ellerton FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
UWI Blackbirds vs Ellerton FC
0:1
Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs UWI Blackbirds
1:0
Mar 31, 2025 Premier League
UWI Blackbirds vs Ellerton FC
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs UWI Blackbirds
1:0
May 5, 2024 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs UWI Blackbirds
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UWI Blackbirds 27 / 100
Ellerton FC 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UWI Blackbirds Ellerton FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UWI Blackbirds found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Ellerton FC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

UWI Blackbirds went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UWI Blackbirds VS Ellerton FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%