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Uxbridge vs Yate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Perez-Duah T.
67' Event
Burchell J.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Uxbridge and Yate finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uxbridge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Uxbridge
35%
Draws
24%
Yate
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Uxbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Yate haven't matched Uxbridge's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Uxbridge taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Yate have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Uxbridge Clean Sheet 20%
Yate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uxbridge Yate
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 18 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.04 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Uxbridge vs Yate
2:0
Jan 24, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Uxbridge
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Uxbridge vs Yate
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uxbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez-Duah T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burchell J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Yate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uxbridge 85 / 100
Yate 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uxbridge Yate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uxbridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uxbridge scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Yate conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Uxbridge has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uxbridge VS Yate
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uxbridge

(Home)
10 Nov
Uxbridge
4 : 2
Hanwell Town
07 Nov
Poole Town
1 : 1
Uxbridge
03 Nov
Plymouth Parkway
3 : 1
Uxbridge
31 Oct
Uxbridge
2 : 0
Yate
27 Oct
Basingstoke
0 : 2
Uxbridge
Page 1 of 6

Yate

(Away)
10 Nov
Evesham
0 : 3
Yate
07 Nov
Yate
1 : 1
Gloucester City
31 Oct
Uxbridge
2 : 0
Yate
27 Oct
Yate
0 : 0
Wimborne
20 Oct
Yate
1 : 1
Sholing
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uxbridge 16 11 3 2 33:14 36
2 Poole Town 16 10 2 4 28:17 32
3 Hanworth Villa 16 9 4 3 32:19 31
4 Plymouth Parkway 15 9 2 4 32:19 29
5 Chertsey Town 16 8 5 3 35:25 29
6 Bath City 16 9 2 5 21:15 29
7 Chichester City 17 9 1 7 30:28 28
8 Gosport Borough 16 7 3 6 25:22 24
9 Wimborne 13 6 4 3 22:9 22
10 Taunton Town 14 7 1 6 35:26 22
11 Frome Town 15 5 5 5 24:21 20
12 Berkhamsted Town 14 5 3 6 18:20 18
13 Yate 16 4 6 6 20:28 18
14 Sholing 14 4 5 5 19:21 17
15 Hanwell Town 16 4 5 7 22:26 17
16 Basingstoke 16 4 4 8 25:32 16
17 Chippenham Town 16 4 4 8 18:30 16
18 Evesham 17 5 1 11 21:37 16
19 Gloucester City 14 3 6 5 21:24 15
20 Bracknell Town 17 4 3 10 19:37 15
21 Malvern Town 16 4 2 10 24:41 14
22 Havant & Waterlooville 16 3 3 10 20:33 12
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)