Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vaduz vs Triesenberg

Liechtenstein Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein Cup 2023/2024 Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz
Vaduz Logo

Vaduz

5 - 0
FT
Triesenberg Logo

Triesenberg

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Golliard T.
9' Event
Djokic D.
32' Event
Golliard T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Vaduz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vaduz
15%
Draws
39%
Triesenberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vaduz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaduz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vaduz's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Vaduz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vaduz, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vaduz here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 16%
Triesenberg Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaduz Triesenberg
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 18
Draws 2 0
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.5 3.24
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2025 Liechtenstein Cup
Triesenberg vs Vaduz
1:5
May 8, 2024 Liechtenstein Cup
Vaduz vs Triesenberg
5:0
May 13, 2015 Liechtenstein Cup
Vaduz vs Triesenberg
5:0
Apr 10, 2012 Liechtenstein Cup
Vaduz vs Triesenberg
3:1
Apr 5, 2011 Liechtenstein Cup
Vaduz vs Triesenberg
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaduz Compare

Top Goalscorer Djokic D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Golliard T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Triesenberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaduz 75 / 100
Triesenberg 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaduz Triesenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaduz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaduz's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Triesenberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Vaduz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vaduz VS Triesenberg
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaduz

(Home)
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2
Grasshoppers
23 Aug
Young Boys
4 : 2
Vaduz
13 Aug
Vaduz
2 : 2
Inter Turku
Page 1 of 7

Triesenberg

(Away)
09 Aug
Eschen/Mauren B
1 : 4
Triesenberg
04 Nov
Triesenberg
1 : 5
Vaduz
24 Sept
Schaan B
0 : 6
Triesenberg
18 Sept
Triesenberg
0 : 4
Eschen/Mauren
08 May
Vaduz
5 : 0
Triesenberg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Triesen C 0
Vaduz C 3
TBD -
Eschen/Mauren C -
Vaduz B -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzers -
Schaan -
TBD -
TBD -
Eschen/Mauren -
Ruggell -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaduz -
Ruggell B -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzers B -
Triesen B -
TBD -
TBD -
Triesenberg -
Schaan B -
TBD -
TBD -
Triesenberg B -
Eschen/Mauren B -
TBD -
TBD -
Triesen -
1/8-finals
Vaduz C 3
Eschen/Mauren C 2
Vaduz B 0
Balzers 1
Schaan 1
Eschen/Mauren 2
Ruggell 1
Vaduz 8
Ruggell B 2
Balzers B 0
Triesen B 0
Triesenberg 8
Schaan B 6
Triesenberg B 1
Eschen/Mauren B 1
Triesen 2
Quarter-finals
Vaduz C 1
Balzers 6
Eschen/Mauren 1
Vaduz 2
Ruggell B 1
Triesenberg 2
Schaan B 1
Triesen 4
Semi-finals
Balzers 0
Vaduz 5
Triesenberg 2
Triesen 0
Final
Vaduz 5
Triesenberg 0