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Vaduz vs Wil

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz
3 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Berisha L.
Assist: Schwizer D.
21' Event
Schwizer D.
Assist: Akinola A.
37'
Rapp S.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Vaduz and Wil finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vaduz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Vaduz
22%
Draws
18%
Wil
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vaduz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Vaduz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Vaduz taking it.
  • Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vaduz here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 14%
Wil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaduz Wil
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Vaduz
1:3
Jan 23, 2026 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Wil
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Vaduz
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Wil
2:1
Apr 1, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Vaduz
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaduz Compare

Top Goalscorer Berisha L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schwizer D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Wil Compare

Top Goalscorer Bunjaku O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaduz 57 / 100
Wil 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaduz Wil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vaduz scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vaduz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Wil conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vaduz VS Wil
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaduz

(Home)
26 Jul
Lugano
2 : 1
Vaduz
23 Jul
Vaduz
4 : 0
Atletic Escaldes
17 Jul
Lugano
1 : 2
Vaduz
10 Jul
Altach
1 : 0
Vaduz
04 Jul
Vaduz
1 : 0
A. Lustenau
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Wil

(Away)
24 Jul
Rapperswil-Jona
4 : 5
Wil
18 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Bruhl SG
10 Jul
Wil
0 : 2
Luzern
04 Jul
Wil
3 : 2
Grasshoppers
26 Jun
A. Lustenau
2 : 0
Wil
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vaduz36256575:4181
2Aarau36255677:4780
3Yverdon36207975:4867
4Lausanne Ouchy361481459:5150
5Xamax361471555:5649
6Rapperswil-Jona361422052:6244
7Etoile-Carouge3610101646:5440
8Wil3610101639:5540
9Stade Nyonnais365131833:6028
10Bellinzona36582340:7723
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)