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Vaduz vs Wil

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz
3 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Berisha L.
Assist: Schwizer D.
21' Event
Schwizer D.
Assist: Akinola A.
37'
Rapp S.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Vaduz and Wil finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vaduz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Vaduz
30%
Draws
35%
Wil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Vaduz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Vaduz taking it.
  • Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vaduz here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 11%
Wil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaduz Wil
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.28 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Vaduz
1:3
Jan 23, 2026 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Wil
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Vaduz
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Wil
2:1
Apr 1, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Vaduz
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaduz Compare

Top Goalscorer Berisha L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schwizer D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Wil Compare

Top Goalscorer Bunjaku O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaduz 38 / 100
Wil 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaduz Wil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaduz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vaduz scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Wil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Vaduz remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vaduz VS Wil
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaduz

(Home)
13 Sept
Zurich
2 : 1
Vaduz
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2
Grasshoppers
23 Aug
Young Boys
4 : 2
Vaduz
Page 1 of 6

Wil

(Away)
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2
Aarau
28 Aug
Yverdon
1 : 1
Wil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaduz 36 25 6 5 75:41 81
2 Aarau 36 25 5 6 77:47 80
3 Yverdon 36 20 7 9 75:48 67
4 Lausanne Ouchy 36 14 8 14 59:51 50
5 Xamax 36 14 7 15 55:56 49
6 Rapperswil-Jona 36 14 2 20 52:62 44
7 Etoile-Carouge 36 10 10 16 46:54 40
8 Wil 36 10 10 16 39:55 40
9 Stade Nyonnais 36 5 13 18 33:60 28
10 Bellinzona 36 5 8 23 40:77 23
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)