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Valadares Gaia FC vs ACDR Lamelas

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Matos P.
51' Event
Silva Pinto P.
74' Event
Cunha D.

AI Match Summary

Valadares Gaia FC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valadares Gaia FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Valadares Gaia FC
28%
Draws
50%
ACDR Lamelas
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: ACDR Lamelas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: ACDR Lamelas at 1.38 per game, Valadares Gaia FC at 0.63.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on ACDR Lamelas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 16%
ACDR Lamelas Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valadares Gaia FC ACDR Lamelas
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 3
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Valadares Gaia FC vs ACDR Lamelas
2:1
Dec 10, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
ACDR Lamelas vs Valadares Gaia FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valadares Gaia FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Matos P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cunha D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

ACDR Lamelas Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Pinto P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valadares Gaia FC 23 / 100
ACDR Lamelas 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valadares Gaia FC ACDR Lamelas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ACDR Lamelas let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Valadares Gaia FC found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

ACDR Lamelas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Valadares Gaia FC VS ACDR Lamelas
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Valadares Gaia FC

(Home)
07 Apr
SC Salgueiros
6 : 1
Valadares Gaia FC
24 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
2 : 1
ACDR Lamelas
17 Mar
Vila Mea
3 : 3
Valadares Gaia FC
09 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
03 Mar
Florgrade
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia FC
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ACDR Lamelas

(Away)
07 Apr
ACDR Lamelas
1 : 1
Beira Mar
24 Mar
Valadares Gaia FC
2 : 1
ACDR Lamelas
17 Mar
ACDR Lamelas
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Mar
ACDR Lamelas
0 : 2
Florgrade
09 Mar
Rebordosa
1 : 2
ACDR Lamelas
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amarante FC26178140:1559
2Sao Joao de Ver26129527:1845
3Gondomar26127728:2043
4AD Marco 0926118729:2241
5Rebordosa26812627:2336
6Paredes2698931:2535
7SC Salgueiros2698935:2635
8Vitoria Guimaraes B26810835:3234
9Beira Mar26810831:3134
10Florgrade2689924:2433
11Oliveira do Douro26681225:3326
12Valadares Gaia FC26661422:4724
13ACDR Lamelas26731619:3924
14Vila Mea26641627:4522
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)