Sport Picks
Valadares Gaia FC vs Guarda Desportiva
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
Valadares Gaia FC play Guarda Desportiva in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023. Valadares Gaia FC are favorites here. Recently, Valadares Gaia FC averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Guarda Desportiva averaged 0.86 goals scored and 2.54 conceded. In past meetings, Valadares Gaia FC won 1, Guarda Desportiva won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 16, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Valadares Gaia FC and 1.44 for Guarda Desportiva. This points to a Valadares Gaia FC double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Valadares Gaia FC picked up more points recently compared to Guarda Desportiva.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.44 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Valadares Gaia FC | Guarda Desportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.65 | 2.54 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Valadares Gaia FC scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Guarda Desportiva let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Valadares Gaia FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Guarda Desportiva lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Salgueiros | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Lusitania FC | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Rebordosa | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 42:23 | 51 |
| 4 | Beira Mar | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 35:21 | 48 |
| 5 | Maritimo B | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 39:26 | 43 |
| 6 | Valadares Gaia FC | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 39:29 | 40 |
| 7 | Gondomar | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:32 | 38 |
| 8 | Camacha | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30:34 | 34 |
| 9 | Leca | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 29:29 | 33 |
| 10 | Machico | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:40 | 29 |
| 11 | FC Alpendorada | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30:43 | 29 |
| 12 | Castro Daire | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 23:34 | 20 |
| 13 | GD Resende | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 30:50 | 17 |
| 14 | Guarda Desportiva | 26 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 21:61 | 8 |