Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E 2017/2018

Valdinievole Montecatini

1 - 0

FC Ponsacco

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 game between Valdinievole Montecatini and FC Ponsacco finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valdinievole Montecatini.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Valdinievole Montecatini

Draws

90%

FC Ponsacco

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Ponsacco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FC Ponsacco carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives FC Ponsacco a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%

Valdinievole Montecatini Clean Sheet 10%

FC Ponsacco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Valdinievole Montecatini	FC Ponsacco
Matches Played	30	24
Wins	1	2
Draws	6	4
Losses	23	18
Goals Scored	0	0.63
Goals Conceded	9.5	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	9.50	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group E

Valdinievole Montecatini vs FC Ponsacco

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 0 - 4

1:0

Dec 10, 2017 Serie D - Group E

FC Ponsacco vs Valdinievole Montecatini

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Jan 15, 2017 Serie D - Group E

FC Ponsacco vs Valdinievole Montecatini

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sep 11, 2016 Serie D - Group E

Valdinievole Montecatini vs FC Ponsacco

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Apr 3, 2016 Serie D - Group E

FC Ponsacco vs Valdinievole Montecatini

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valdinievole Montecatini 10 / 100

FC Ponsacco 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Valdinievole Montecatini FC Ponsacco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PON Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Ponsacco conceded in 92% of 24 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: FC Ponsacco registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Valdinievole Montecatini scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Valdinievole Montecatini VS FC Ponsacco

0 Goals Scored 0.63

9.5 Goals Conceded 2.38

100% Over 1.5 100%

100% Over 2.5 50%

100% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albissola	34	21	6	7	56:30	69
2	Sanremese	34	20	7	7	58:34	67
3	FC Ponsacco	34	17	11	6	49:31	62
4	Real Forte Querceta	34	16	12	6	50:27	60
5	Viareggio	34	17	9	8	57:46	58
6	Massese	34	15	11	8	50:33	56
7	Savona	34	16	7	11	53:34	55
8	Seravezza Pozzi	34	13	12	9	44:33	51
9	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	12	10	12	41:34	46
10	Ghiviborgo	34	10	14	10	48:45	44
11	Ligorna	34	11	10	13	41:50	43
12	Sestri Levante	34	11	9	14	35:34	42
13	Lavagnese	34	11	8	15	35:42	41
14	Rignanese	34	10	8	16	36:60	38
15	Scandicci	34	10	4	20	42:54	34
16	Finale	34	6	12	16	38:49	30
17	Argentina	34	4	9	21	29:71	21
18	Valdinievole Montecatini	34	2	9	23	19:74	15