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Valencia B vs Castellon B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Fernandez Varela R.
59' Event
Willman M.
73' Event
Domingo J.

AI Match Summary

Castellon B in this Segunda RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castellon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Valencia B
30%
Draws
52%
Castellon B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castellon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Valencia B at 1.64 per game, Castellon B at 1.55.
  • Model gives Castellon B a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Valencia B Clean Sheet 18%
Castellon B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valencia B Castellon B
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.64 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Valencia B vs Castellon B
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Castellon B vs Valencia B
0:4
Oct 5, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Valencia B vs Castellon B
3:3
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Valencia B vs Castellon B
4:2
Jan 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon B vs Valencia B
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valencia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Varela R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Castellon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Willman M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Domingo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valencia B 23 / 100
Castellon B 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valencia B Castellon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valencia B found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Castellon B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Valencia B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valencia B VS Castellon B
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Valencia B

(Home)
19 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 2
Castellon B
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0
Valencia B
06 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 1
Mallorca B
29 Aug
Orihuela
1 : 1
Valencia B
22 Aug
Alcoyano
2 : 2
Valencia B
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Castellon B

(Away)
19 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 2
Castellon B
12 Sept
Castellon B
3 : 0
Alcoyano
05 Sept
Castellon B
1 : 2
CF Intercity
29 Aug
Reus FC Reddis
0 : 1
Castellon B
21 Aug
Girona B
4 : 2
Castellon B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Nucia 4 4 0 0 9:1 12
2 Castellon B 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 Castellonense 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
4 CF Intercity 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Orihuela 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
6 UCAM Murcia 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
7 Deportiva Minera 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
8 Ciudad Cieza 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
9 Mallorca B 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
10 Yeclano 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Ilicitano 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
12 Alcoyano 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
13 UD Poblense 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
14 Real Murcia B 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
15 Lorca Deportiva 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
16 Baleares 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
17 Valencia B 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
18 Pena Deportiva 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)