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Valenciano vs Santa Maria FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Maria FC in this Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Maria FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Valenciano
22%
Draws
60%
Santa Maria FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Santa Maria FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Maria FC lately — more wins on the board than Valenciano.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Santa Maria FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Santa Maria FC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Valenciano Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Maria FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valenciano Santa Maria FC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.6 1.88
Goals Conceded 4.2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.20 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Maria FC vs Valenciano
3:1
Mar 2, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Valenciano vs Santa Maria FC
1:3
Nov 24, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Maria FC vs Valenciano
0:2
Aug 25, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Valenciano vs Santa Maria FC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valenciano 18 / 100
Santa Maria FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valenciano Santa Maria FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Maria FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Santa Maria FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Valenciano found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Valenciano VS Santa Maria FC
1.6 Goals Scored 1.88
4.2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Valenciano

(Home)
31 Aug
Valenciano
1 : 4
SC Vianense
11 Sept
Valenciano
2 : 4
Merelinense
20 Oct
Valenciano
0 : 7
Vitoria Guimaraes
30 Sept
Praia Milfontes
2 : 5
Valenciano
08 Sept
AD Limianos
4 : 0
Valenciano
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Santa Maria FC

(Away)
22 Oct
Penafiel
3 : 0
Santa Maria FC
24 Sept
SC Salgueiros
0 : 1
Santa Maria FC
24 May
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Santa Maria FC
17 May
Santa Maria FC
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
10 May
Cerveira
2 : 2
Santa Maria FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vilaverdense FC1484220:939
2AD Fafe1464420:1439
3SC Vianense1466219:1337
4SC Mirandela1447318:1334
5Santa Maria FC1455415:1531
6Pedras Salgadas1436512:1523
7Ninense1435612:1918
8Valenciano14131011:2917
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)