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Valentine vs Kahibah

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Croudace Bay Complex, Lake Macquarie
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
McShane Z.
19' Event
McDougall Z.
45' Event
Eick B.

AI Match Summary

Valentine in this NPL Northern NSW matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valentine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Valentine
15%
Draws
40%
Kahibah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valentine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kahibah lately — more wins on the board than Valentine.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Valentine Clean Sheet 13%
Kahibah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valentine Kahibah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 2
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.9 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Kahibah
3:2
Apr 12, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Kahibah vs Valentine
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valentine Compare

Top Goalscorer McShane Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McDougall Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kahibah Compare

Top Goalscorer Eick B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burston J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valentine 35 / 100
Kahibah 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valentine Kahibah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kahibah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kahibah has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Valentine scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Valentine remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Valentine VS Kahibah
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Valentine

(Home)
16 Aug
Valentine
0 : 0
Weston Workers Bears
08 Aug
Newcastle Olympic
1 : 2
Valentine
01 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 1
Valentine
25 Jul
Valentine
1 : 0
Charlestown Azzurri
12 Jul
Valentine
3 : 2
Kahibah
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Kahibah

(Away)
05 Sept
Kahibah
2 : 1
Newcastle Croatia
29 Aug
Kahibah
3 : 0
New Lambton
22 Aug
New Lambton
1 : 2
Kahibah
16 Aug
Kahibah
2 : 4
Cooks Hill United
12 Aug
Kahibah
1 : 2
Maitland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Broadmeadow Magic FC 22 15 4 3 59:23 49
2 Maitland 22 13 3 6 40:32 42
3 Weston Workers Bears 22 12 5 5 48:33 41
4 Edgeworth Eagles FC 22 11 6 5 41:31 39
5 Belmont Swansea United 22 10 5 7 47:44 35
6 Cooks Hill United 22 9 6 7 43:36 33
7 Valentine 22 7 5 10 22:39 26
8 Lambton Jaffas FC 22 7 4 11 38:33 25
9 Adamstown Rosebud 22 6 6 10 34:45 24
10 Newcastle Olympic 22 5 6 11 39:40 21
11 Kahibah 22 6 2 14 35:53 20
12 Charlestown Azzurri 22 4 2 16 25:62 14
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)