Sport Picks

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Valenzana vs Alghero

Italy Italy

Serie C2/A 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valenzana in this Serie C2/A 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valenzana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Valenzana
15%
Draws
64%
Alghero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alghero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valenzana lately — more wins on the board than Alghero.
  • Valenzana are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Valenzana Clean Sheet 16%
Alghero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valenzana Alghero
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.89 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2010 Lega Pro C2/A
Valenzana vs Alghero
1:0
Nov 22, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Alghero vs Valenzana
1:1
Jan 25, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A
Alghero vs Valenzana
1:0
Sep 14, 2008 Lega Pro C2/A
Valenzana vs Alghero
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valenzana 75 / 100
Alghero 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valenzana Alghero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valenzana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Valenzana scored in 65% of their last 37 outings.

Difficult form: Alghero registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Alghero has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Valenzana VS Alghero
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 5.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Valenzana

(Home)
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2
Valenzana
16 Sept
Valenzana
0 : 1
GSD Lascaris
12 Sept
Millesimo
2 : 1
Valenzana
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Alessandria
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
Page 1 of 8

Alghero

(Away)
11 Aug
Latte Dolce
4 : 2
Alghero
31 Jul
Sassari Torres
7 : 0
Alghero
13 Aug
Sassari Torres
2 : 0
Alghero
09 May
Alghero
3 : 0
Pro Belvedere V.
02 May
Spezia
2 : 0
Alghero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sudtirol 34 18 9 7 33:23 63
2 Spezia 34 16 12 6 47:27 60
3 Legnano 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
4 Alghero 34 15 12 7 43:25 57
5 FeralpiSalo 34 14 15 5 41:32 57
6 Pavia 34 15 12 7 49:32 57
7 Rodengo Saiano 34 12 14 8 40:32 50
8 Crociati 34 9 15 10 36:37 42
9 Olbia 34 8 18 8 32:27 42
10 Sambonifacese 34 10 12 12 44:46 42
11 Valenzana 34 9 14 11 24:29 41
12 Pro Vercelli 34 11 8 15 31:37 41
13 Canavese 34 9 13 12 31:39 40
14 Mezzocorona 34 11 6 17 42:46 39
15 Villacidrese 34 10 9 15 38:43 39
16 Carpenedolo 34 9 8 17 34:50 35
17 Pro Belvedere V. 34 5 13 16 15:39 28
18 Pro Sesto 34 5 7 22 24:58 22
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie C1/A 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2009/2010 (Play Offs)