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Valerenga vs Fredrikstad

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Grundetjern M.
13' Event
Lange C.
16'
Holme F.

AI Match Summary

Valerenga in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valerenga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Valerenga
35%
Draws
40%
Fredrikstad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fredrikstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valerenga lately — more wins on the board than Fredrikstad.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 10%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga Fredrikstad
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 15 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.06 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Fredrikstad
1:1
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs Fredrikstad
3:1
Apr 12, 2026 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Valerenga
1:1
Sep 23, 2025 NM Cup
Valerenga vs Fredrikstad
1:2
Jul 5, 2025 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Fredrikstad
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga Compare

Top Goalscorer Grundetjern M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lange C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Fredrikstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Faraas B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga 30 / 100
Fredrikstad 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga Fredrikstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fredrikstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredrikstad let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Valerenga's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Valerenga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga VS Fredrikstad
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga

(Home)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
17 Sept
Skeid
1 : 4
Valerenga
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4
Molde
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Fredrikstad

(Away)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
16 Sept
Stjordals Blink
0 : 1
Fredrikstad
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4
Fredrikstad
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