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Valerenga vs Orgryte

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Thorvaldsen F.
19' Event
Thorvaldsen F.
(Penalty)
25' Event
Rajkovic G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Valerenga and Orgryte finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valerenga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Valerenga
6%
Draws
4%
Orgryte
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valerenga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valerenga come out ahead of Orgryte on wins alone.
  • Valerenga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 16%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga Orgryte
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 5
Draws 4 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs Orgryte
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorvaldsen F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rajkovic G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Orgryte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga 84 / 100
Orgryte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga Orgryte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Valerenga found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Orgryte conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Valerenga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga VS Orgryte
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga

(Home)
26 Jul
Brann
2 : 3
Valerenga
16 Jul
Valerenga
6 : 1
Aalesund
11 Jul
Tromso
4 : 0
Valerenga
04 Jul
Valerenga
3 : 1
Fredrikstad
27 Jun
Valerenga
1 : 2
GAIS
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Orgryte

(Away)
24 Jul
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Orgryte
20 Jul
Orgryte
0 : 0
Djurgarden
11 Jul
Orgryte
4 : 3
Hacken
05 Jul
Kalmar
3 : 0
Orgryte
25 Jun
Tromso
4 : 1
Orgryte
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