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Valerenga vs Orgryte

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Thorvaldsen F.
19' Event
Thorvaldsen F.
(Penalty)
25' Event
Rajkovic G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Valerenga and Orgryte finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valerenga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Valerenga
30%
Draws
31%
Orgryte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valerenga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valerenga come out ahead of Orgryte on wins alone.
  • Valerenga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 10%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga Orgryte
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs Orgryte
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorvaldsen F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rajkovic G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Orgryte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga 83 / 100
Orgryte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga Orgryte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valerenga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orgryte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Valerenga found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Valerenga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga VS Orgryte
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga

(Home)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
17 Sept
Skeid
1 : 4
Valerenga
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4
Molde
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Orgryte

(Away)
19 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 2
Sirius
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Orgryte
25 Aug
Eskilsminne
1 : 3
Orgryte
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