Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Valerenga W vs Stabaek W

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Intility Arena, Oslo
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Inauen N. In: Eiriksdottir A.
Out: Inauen N.
51' Event
Enger T.
Assist: Hegg E.
54'
Bolviken E.

AI Match Summary

Valerenga W in this Toppserien Women matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valerenga W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Valerenga W
15%
Draws
31%
Stabaek W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valerenga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Valerenga W average 2.61 goals a game right now, well clear of Stabaek W's 2.31.
  • Win probability leans Valerenga W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Toppserien Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Valerenga W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Valerenga W Clean Sheet 13%
Stabaek W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valerenga W Stabaek W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 17
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.61 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Toppserien Women
Valerenga W vs Stabaek W
3:1
Apr 25, 2026 Toppserien Women
Stabaek W vs Valerenga W
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Toppserien Women
Stabaek W vs Valerenga W
0:4
Jun 11, 2025 Norway Cup Women
Stabaek W vs Valerenga W
1:2
Jun 7, 2025 Toppserien Women
Valerenga W vs Stabaek W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valerenga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Enger T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Espas T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Stabaek W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valerenga W 40 / 100
Stabaek W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valerenga W Stabaek W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valerenga W's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Stabaek W let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Valerenga W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valerenga W VS Stabaek W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.57
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Valerenga W

(Home)
23 Sept
Feyenoord W
4 : 1
Valerenga W
17 Sept
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Haugesund W
11 Sept
Roa W
3 : 6
Valerenga W
02 Sept
Valerenga W
7 : 1
Radomlje W
26 Aug
Radomlje W
0 : 2
Valerenga W
Page 1 of 6

Stabaek W

(Away)
17 Sept
Rosenborg W
4 : 2
Stabaek W
13 Sept
Stabaek W
5 : 1
LSK Kvinner W
22 Aug
Stabaek W
7 : 1
Bodo/Glimt W
15 Aug
Haugesund W
1 : 1
Stabaek W
26 Jul
Rosengard W
1 : 0
Stabaek W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 16 14 2 0 52:4 44
2 Aalesund W 16 13 1 2 41:15 40
3 Rosenborg W 16 11 3 2 31:18 36
4 Valerenga W 16 10 1 5 41:24 31
5 Stabaek W 16 7 3 6 33:19 24
6 Lyn W 16 6 4 6 29:22 22
7 Molde W 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
8 LSK Kvinner W 16 4 3 9 22:31 15
9 Haugesund W 16 4 3 9 20:39 15
10 Honefoss W 16 3 3 10 12:29 12
11 Roa W 16 2 5 9 15:34 11
12 Bodo/Glimt W 16 0 3 13 9:64 3
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)