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Valladolid W vs Athletic Bilbao W

Spain Spain

Superliga Women 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valladolid W play Athletic Bilbao W in the Superliga Women 2009/2010. Athletic Bilbao W are favorites here. Recently, Valladolid W averaged 0.7 goals scored and 3.33 conceded. Athletic Bilbao W averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Valladolid W won 0, Athletic Bilbao W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 11, 2010 ended 0:9. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Valladolid W and 1.18 for Athletic Bilbao W. This points to a Athletic Bilbao W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Valladolid W
15%
Draws
73%
Athletic Bilbao W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Athletic Bilbao W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Valladolid W picked up more points recently compared to Athletic Bilbao W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Valladolid W Clean Sheet 20%
Athletic Bilbao W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valladolid W Athletic Bilbao W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 24 10
Goals Scored 0.7 1.72
Goals Conceded 3.33 1.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2010 Liga F Women
Valladolid W vs Athletic Bilbao W
0:9
Oct 24, 2010 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Valladolid W
7:0
Nov 14, 2009 Liga F Women
Athletic Bilbao W vs Valladolid W
6:0
Sep 12, 2009 Liga F Women
Valladolid W vs Athletic Bilbao W
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valladolid W 15 / 100
Athletic Bilbao W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valladolid W Athletic Bilbao W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletic Bilbao W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Athletic Bilbao W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +200%
25.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Valladolid W attacking → ← attacking Athletic Bilbao W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valladolid W scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Athletic Bilbao W let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Valladolid W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Athletic Bilbao W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 52
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Athletic Bilbao W14103145:1333
2Zaragoza CFF W14102236:632
3Real Sociedad W1493242:1430
4Lagunak W1465326:1323
5Real Oviedo W1352615:2217
6Las Palmas W1432917:3511
7Eibar W1321109:487
8Valladolid W1402125:442
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Espanyol W1292150:829
2Barcelona W1282226:726
3Levante W1273221:1124
4Estartit W1252526:1317
5Collerense W1243516:2015
6Valencia W1222816:328
7Gimnastic W1200124:680
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rayo Vallecano W12111065:534
2Atl. Madrid W1273233:1624
3Huelva W1270532:2321
4Torrejon W1260625:2118
5Sevilla W1242618:2714
6Malaga W122288:468
7Jaen W12101113:563