Sport Picks

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Valmiera 2 vs Alberts JDFS

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2024 Valmieras Olimpiskais centrs, Valmiera
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Stupelis O.
28'
Kragliks R.
40'
Lucas Aruba

AI Match Summary

Valmiera 2 in this 1. Liga 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valmiera 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Valmiera 2
20%
Draws
51%
Alberts JDFS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alberts JDFS lately — more wins on the board than Valmiera 2.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alberts JDFS here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmiera 2 Alberts JDFS
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Alberts JDFS
2:0
Jul 20, 2024 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Valmiera 2
3:2
Oct 8, 2023 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Alberts JDFS
2:3
Jun 4, 2023 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Valmiera 2
5:1
Sep 2, 2022 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Valmiera 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmiera 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kragliks R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pulis I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Alberts JDFS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmiera 2 34 / 100
Alberts JDFS 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmiera 2 Alberts JDFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alberts JDFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Valmiera 2's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Alberts JDFS has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Valmiera 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alberts JDFS
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmiera 2

(Home)
10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0
Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0
Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3
Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
05 Oct
Super Nova
4 : 1
Valmiera 2
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Alberts JDFS

(Away)
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Super Nova 26 21 2 3 65:11 65
2 RFS 2 26 20 3 3 71:18 63
3 Alberts JDFS 26 19 1 6 53:21 58
4 Riga FC 2 26 13 9 4 59:26 48
5 Skanste 26 12 5 9 39:28 41
6 Valmiera 2 26 10 4 12 41:39 34
7 Marupe 26 9 6 11 25:44 33
8 Leevon PPK 26 9 4 13 36:38 31
9 AFA Olaine 26 8 6 12 45:50 30
10 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 32:37 30
11 Ogre United 26 7 8 11 37:44 29
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 5 4 17 25:68 19
13 FK Smiltene 26 4 5 17 24:62 17
14 Rezekne 26 3 5 18 18:84 14
Promotion - Virsliga 2025 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2024 (Relegation)