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Valmontone vs Montespaccato

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Cali A.
34' Event
De Silvestro E.
40' Event
Coratella C.

AI Match Summary

Valmontone in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valmontone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Valmontone
15%
Draws
7%
Montespaccato
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmontone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valmontone lately — more wins on the board than Montespaccato.
  • Valmontone are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Valmontone Clean Sheet 68%
Montespaccato Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valmontone Montespaccato
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 3 12
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Valmontone vs Montespaccato
3:2
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Montespaccato vs Valmontone
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valmontone Compare

Top Goalscorer Cali A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Silvestro E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Montespaccato Compare

Top Goalscorer Coratella C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valmontone 95 / 100
Montespaccato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valmontone Montespaccato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmontone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montespaccato's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Valmontone scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Valmontone has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Valmontone VS Montespaccato
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valmontone

(Home)
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Valmontone
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2
Valmontone
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Budoni Calcio
2 : 3
Valmontone
Page 1 of 6

Montespaccato

(Away)
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4
Flaminia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3
Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)