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Valour vs Cavalry

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League 2025 Princess Auto Stadium, Winnipeg, MB
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Williams K.
42'
Laing L.
51' Event
Montgomery C.
Assist: Aird F.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League 2025 game between Valour and Cavalry finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavalry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Valour
20%
Draws
38%
Cavalry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valour

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Cavalry carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Valour's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Cavalry have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Valour Clean Sheet 19%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valour Cavalry
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Valour
3:0
Jul 30, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Valour vs Cavalry
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Valour vs Cavalry
1:2
May 25, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Valour
4:0
Oct 19, 2024 Canadian Premier League
Valour vs Cavalry
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valour Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueiredo B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Montgomery C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camargo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valour 42 / 100
Cavalry 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valour Cavalry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Valour scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Cavalry conceded in 71% of 35 recent games.

Solid form: Valour remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cavalry
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Valour

(Home)
18 Oct
Pacific FC
1 : 4
Valour
11 Oct
Valour
0 : 3
HFX Wanderers
05 Oct
Valour
3 : 3
Atletico Ottawa
28 Sept
Inter Toronto
1 : 0
Valour
20 Sept
Cavalry
3 : 0
Valour
Page 1 of 6

Cavalry

(Away)
29 Jul
Cavalry
2 : 1
Supra du Quebec
25 Jul
Vancouver FC
1 : 0
Cavalry
18 Jul
Cavalry
1 : 1
HFX Wanderers
14 Jul
Cavalry
1 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
09 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps
4 : 1
Cavalry
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Forge FC281610251:2258
2Atletico Ottawa281511254:2856
3Cavalry28119847:3642
4HFX Wanderers281161141:3439
5Inter Toronto281081043:3838
6Valour28751635:6226
7Pacific FC28581530:5923
8Vancouver FC28491535:5721
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