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Valur W vs Tindastoll W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Besta deild Women 2025 Hlíðarendi Stadium, Reykjavík
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Match Events

7' Event
Arnarsdottir A.
11' Event
Fridriksdottir F.
29' Event
Woods M.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild Women 2025 game between Valur W and Tindastoll W finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valur W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Valur W
30%
Draws
33%
Tindastoll W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Valur W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Valur W a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Besta deild Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Valur W Clean Sheet 20%
Tindastoll W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur W Tindastoll W
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.39 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 League Cup Women
Tindastoll W vs Valur W
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Tindastoll W
6:2
Jun 6, 2025 Besta deild Women
Tindastoll W vs Valur W
2:2
Mar 4, 2025 League Cup Women
Valur W vs Tindastoll W
5:0
Jul 24, 2024 Besta deild Women
Tindastoll W vs Valur W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valur W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fridriksdottir F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Arnarsdottir A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Tindastoll W Compare

Top Goalscorer Woods M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johannsdottir A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur W 76 / 100
Tindastoll W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur W Tindastoll W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valur W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tindastoll W conceded in 85% of 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Valur W scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Valur W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valur W VS Tindastoll W
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 5
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Valur W

(Home)
02 Oct
Fram W
1 : 2
Valur W
25 Sept
Valur W
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik W
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 4
Valur W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
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Tindastoll W

(Away)
16 May
Tindastoll W
0 : 5
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
26 Apr
Tindastoll W
3 : 0
IR Reykjavik W
08 Feb
Tindastoll W
0 : 16
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
11 Oct
Tindastoll W
5 : 2
FHL W
04 Oct
Fram W
3 : 3
Tindastoll W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 18 16 1 1 77:15 49
2 Hafnarfjordur W 18 12 2 4 44:21 38
3 Throttur W 18 11 3 4 34:22 36
4 Valur W 18 8 3 7 30:27 27
5 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 8 1 9 40:39 25
6 Stjarnan W 18 8 1 9 31:36 25
7 Thor/KA W 18 7 0 11 31:41 21
8 Fram W 18 7 0 11 24:43 21
9 Tindastoll W 18 5 2 11 22:44 17
10 FHL W 18 1 1 16 11:56 4
Promotion - Besta deild Women 2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women 2025 (Relegation Group)