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Van vs Shirak Gyumri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Charentsavan City Stadium, Charentsavan
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Mesamba B.
44' Event
Mesamba B.
45' Event
Kodia D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Van and Shirak Gyumri finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shirak Gyumri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Van
15%
Draws
51%
Shirak Gyumri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shirak Gyumri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Van and Shirak Gyumri close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Model gives Shirak Gyumri a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Van here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Van Clean Sheet 10%
Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Van Shirak Gyumri
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.86 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
Van vs Shirak Gyumri
0:4
May 8, 2026 Premier League
Van vs Shirak Gyumri
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Van
2:3
Sep 19, 2025 Premier League
Van vs Shirak Gyumri
3:2
Apr 12, 2025 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Van
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Van Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Shirak Gyumri Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesamba B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kodia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Van 10 / 100
Shirak Gyumri 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Van Shirak Gyumri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shirak Gyumri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Shirak Gyumri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Shirak Gyumri lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Van's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Van VS Shirak Gyumri
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Van

(Home)
18 Sept
Noah
2 : 0
Van
11 Sept
Van
2 : 1
BKMA
03 Sept
Alashkert
4 : 0
Van
29 Aug
Van
0 : 4
Shirak Gyumri
20 Aug
Van
1 : 1
Syunik
Page 1 of 6

Shirak Gyumri

(Away)
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3
Ararat-Armenia
13 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan
2 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
29 Aug
Van
0 : 4
Shirak Gyumri
22 Aug
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 1
Urartu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 8 8 0 0 21:5 24
2 Ararat-Armenia 8 6 1 1 17:8 19
3 Pyunik Yerevan 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
4 Alashkert 8 4 3 1 18:6 15
5 Sardarapat 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
6 Urartu 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Shirak Gyumri 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
9 BKMA 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
10 Van 8 1 1 6 4:21 4
11 FC Gandzasar 8 1 0 7 8:20 3
12 Syunik 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)