Sport Picks

North & Central America

CONCACAF Champions Cup Willoughby Community Park Stadium

Cruz Azul

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vancouver FC play Cruz Azul in the CONCACAF Champions Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vancouver FC averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Cruz Azul averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Vancouver FC won 0, Cruz Azul won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 13, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Vancouver FC and 1.56 for Cruz Azul. This points to a Cruz Azul double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Vancouver FC

30%

Draws

49%

Cruz Azul

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cruz Azul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Vancouver FC picked up more points recently compared to Cruz Azul.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 15%

Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vancouver FC	Cruz Azul
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	17
Draws	7	11
Losses	15	2
Goals Scored	1.3	1.97
Goals Conceded	1.8	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup

Cruz Azul vs Vancouver FC

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

5:0

Feb 5, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup

Vancouver FC vs Cruz Azul

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Cruz Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Paradela J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Morales A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver FC 22 / 100

Cruz Azul 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vancouver FC Cruz Azul

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cruz Azul or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +61.5%

7.69

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vancouver FC attacking → ← attacking Cruz Azul

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vancouver FC scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Cruz Azul let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Vancouver FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cruz Azul lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 62

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25