Sport Picks

Canada

NSL Women Swangard Stadium, Burnaby, BC

Montreal Roses FC W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vancouver Rise FC W host Montreal Roses FC W in the NSL Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Vancouver Rise FC W at 1.88 goals for, 2.25 against; Montreal Roses FC W at 1.88 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Montreal Roses FC W slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (1.63 - 2.06) back Montreal Roses FC W to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Vancouver Rise FC W

22%

Draws

60%

Montreal Roses FC W

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Montreal Roses FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Vancouver Rise FC W haven't matched Montreal Roses FC W's recent run of results.
Montreal Roses FC W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Montreal Roses FC W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Vancouver Rise FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vancouver Rise FC W	Montreal Roses FC W
Matches Played	16	12
Wins	6	7
Draws	1	3
Losses	9	2
Goals Scored	1.88	1.88
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NSL Women

Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W

5:1

May 30, 2026 NSL Women

Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W

2:3

May 2, 2026 NSL Women

Montreal Roses FC W vs Vancouver Rise FC W

4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver Rise FC W 18 / 100

Montreal Roses FC W 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vancouver Rise FC W Montreal Roses FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Vancouver Rise FC W scored in 75% of their last 16 outings.

Vancouver Rise FC W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Montreal Roses FC W conceded in 58% of 12 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver Rise FC W VS Montreal Roses FC W

1.88 Goals Scored 1.88

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History