Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vancouver Whitecaps vs New York City

USA USA

MLS BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Laborda M.
Assist: Berhalter S.
53'
Cubas A.
63'
Sub
Sabaly C. In: Caicedo B.
Out: Sabaly C.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Vancouver Whitecaps and New York City finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vancouver Whitecaps.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Vancouver Whitecaps
17%
Draws
13%
New York City
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Vancouver Whitecaps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • New York City haven't matched Vancouver Whitecaps's recent run of results.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 16%
New York City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver Whitecaps New York City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs New York City
2:0
Sep 2, 2023 MLS
New York City vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:1
Mar 5, 2022 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs New York City
0:0
Mar 21, 2020 MLS
New York City vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0:0
Sep 1, 2019 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs New York City
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver Whitecaps Compare

Top Goalscorer Laborda M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader White B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

New York City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver Whitecaps 66 / 100
New York City 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver Whitecaps New York City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vancouver Whitecaps's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

New York City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vancouver Whitecaps remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver Whitecaps VS New York City
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Home)
22 Jul
FC Cincinnati
4 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
14 Jul
Cavalry
1 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
09 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps
4 : 1
Cavalry
24 May
San Diego FC
2 : 4
Vancouver Whitecaps
17 May
Houston Dynamo
1 : 0
Vancouver Whitecaps
Page 1 of 6

New York City

(Away)
22 Jul
Columbus Crew
1 : 2
New York City
24 May
Nashville SC
2 : 1
New York City
20 May
Columbus Crew
1 : 0
New York City
16 May
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1
New York City
13 May
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
New York City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps15102337:1632
2San Jose Earthquakes16102434:1932
3Los Angeles FC1793530:1830
4Real Salt Lake1582527:2226
5FC Dallas1675432:2426
6Seattle Sounders1573519:1924
7Houston Dynamo1572620:2423
8St. Louis City1664622:2322
9Minnesota United1664619:2422
10Los Angeles Galaxy1755723:2820
11Colorado Rapids1661926:2419
12Portland Timbers1653829:3118
13San Diego FC1645730:2817
14Austin FC1645722:3217
15Sporting Kansas City16421018:4014
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC16123133:1139
2Inter Miami16104242:3034
3Chicago Fire1582529:1926
4New England Revolution1582522:1826
5Charlotte FC1774628:2525
6FC Cincinnati1665540:4023
7New York City1664627:2222
8New York Red Bulls1764726:3722
9DC United1647522:2619
10Orlando City1652927:4417
11Columbus Crew1644822:2516
12Toronto FC1637622:2916
13CF Montreal1643922:3215
14Atlanta United16331016:2612
15Philadelphia Union16241021:3110
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)