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Vandra Vaprus vs Levadia Tallinn II

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vandra Vaprus play Levadia Tallinn II in the Esiliiga 2015. Levadia Tallinn II are favorites here. Recently, Vandra Vaprus averaged 1.45 goals scored and 2.74 conceded. Levadia Tallinn II averaged 3.43 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Vandra Vaprus won 0, Levadia Tallinn II won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 16, 2015 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Vandra Vaprus and 1.63 for Levadia Tallinn II. This points to a Levadia Tallinn II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vandra Vaprus
15%
Draws
62%
Levadia Tallinn II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia Tallinn II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Vandra Vaprus picked up more points recently compared to Levadia Tallinn II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Vandra Vaprus Clean Sheet 14%
Levadia Tallinn II Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vandra Vaprus Levadia Tallinn II
Matches Played 38 28
Wins 11 18
Draws 4 3
Losses 23 7
Goals Scored 1.45 3.43
Goals Conceded 2.74 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2015 Esiliiga
Vandra Vaprus vs Levadia Tallinn II
1:4
Aug 30, 2015 Esiliiga
Levadia Tallinn II vs Vandra Vaprus
6:3
May 17, 2015 Esiliiga
Levadia Tallinn II vs Vandra Vaprus
4:3
Apr 26, 2015 Esiliiga
Vandra Vaprus vs Levadia Tallinn II
2:4
Sep 13, 2014 Esiliiga
Vandra Vaprus vs Levadia Tallinn II
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vandra Vaprus 24 / 100
Levadia Tallinn II 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vandra Vaprus Levadia Tallinn II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Tallinn II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Levadia Tallinn II & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vandra Vaprus attacking → ← attacking Levadia Tallinn II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vandra Vaprus scored in 71% of their last 38 games.

Levadia Tallinn II let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Vandra Vaprus went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Levadia Tallinn II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 57
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flora Tallinn U2136226876:4072
2Levadia Tallinn II362259118:5771
3FCI Tallinn II3620610108:4866
4Rakvere3612111352:5347
5Kalju II361441850:5646
6Tallinna Kalev361371647:5946
7Kivioli Irbis361351860:8744
8Santos Tartu361261856:8342
9Vandra Vaprus361152043:8038
10Kuressaare361071948:9537