Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vanersborgs FK vs Saffle SK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Emanuelsson J.
85' Event
Johansson M.
90' Event
Haidar G.

AI Match Summary

Vanersborgs FK in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vanersborgs FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Vanersborgs FK
28%
Draws
22%
Saffle SK
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vanersborgs FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Vanersborgs FK have won more games recently than Saffle SK.
  • Win probability leans Vanersborgs FK's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 19%
Saffle SK Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs FK Saffle SK
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Saffle SK
3:1
Apr 13, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Saffle SK vs Vanersborgs FK
1:2
Sep 16, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Saffle SK vs Vanersborgs FK
0:1
May 19, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Saffle SK
2:3
Aug 20, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Saffle SK vs Vanersborgs FK
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Emanuelsson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johansson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Saffle SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Haidar G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs FK 49 / 100
Saffle SK 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs FK Saffle SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VFK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs FK found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Saffle SK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Saffle SK has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs FK VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanersborgs FK

(Home)
27 Jun
Motala
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
18 Jun
Vanersborgs FK
2 : 4
Stenungsunds IF
14 Jun
Husqvarna
3 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
05 Jun
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 3
Skara
29 May
Vanersborgs FK
2 : 3
Grebbestad
Page 1 of 7

Saffle SK

(Away)
20 Oct
Saffle SK
2 : 1
Ahlafors
13 Oct
Grebbestad
4 : 0
Saffle SK
05 Oct
Saffle SK
1 : 3
IFK Skovde
29 Sept
Saffle SK
2 : 2
Vanersborgs IF
21 Sept
Forward
3 : 0
Saffle SK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1IFK Skovde26194361:2561
2Kongahalla26145752:3747
3Herrestads AIF26136746:3045
4Ahlafors26109747:4139
5Lidkoping26109738:3439
6Grebbestad261151059:3838
7Kumla26108849:4638
8Motala26107947:5137
9Vanersborgs FK261031338:4833
10Forward266101038:3928
11Vanersborgs IF26761330:4727
12Stenungsunds IF26591228:4424
13Gauthiod26661436:6224
14Saffle SK26551629:5620
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2024 (Relegation)