Sport Picks

Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026 Vanlose Idraetspark

Vanlose

0 - 2

Naesby

Our Tip

Match Events

50'

Larsen R.

52'

Tomaselli A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2025/2026 game between Vanlose and Naesby finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naesby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Vanlose

Draws

90%

Naesby

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Naesby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Naesby come out ahead of Vanlose on wins alone.
Naesby are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Vanlose Clean Sheet 10%

Naesby Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vanlose	Naesby
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	8	14
Draws	8	5
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	0.63	2.38
Goals Conceded	2	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 3rd Division

Vanlose vs Naesby

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Apr 25, 2026 3rd Division

Naesby vs Vanlose

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Apr 2, 2026 3rd Division

Vanlose vs Naesby

Possession: 58% - 60% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Aug 23, 2025 3rd Division

Naesby vs Vanlose

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Nov 18, 2023 3rd Division

Vanlose vs Naesby

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanlose Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Naesby Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tomaselli A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanlose 10 / 100

Naesby 85 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vanlose Naesby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vanlose scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Naesby has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Vanlose stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanlose VS Naesby

0.63 Goals Scored 2.38

2 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nykobing	32	26	5	1	80:23	83
2	Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000	32	16	7	9	42:32	55
3	Naesby	32	16	5	11	63:50	53
4	Bronshoj	32	11	10	11	48:57	43
5	Vanlose	32	11	7	14	37:44	40
6	Horsholm-Usserod	32	9	6	17	47:63	33