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Vanlose vs Naesby Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026 Vanlose Idraetspark, Vanlose
Vanlose Logo

Vanlose

0 - 2
FT
Naesby Logo

Naesby

Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Larsen R.
52' Event
Tomaselli A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2025/2026 game between Vanlose and Naesby finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naesby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vanlose
30%
Draws
27%
Naesby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vanlose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naesby come out ahead of Vanlose on wins alone.
  • Vanlose are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vanlose Clean Sheet 12%
Naesby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanlose Naesby
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.38 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Naesby
3:0
May 25, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Naesby
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 3rd Division
Naesby vs Vanlose
1:1
Apr 2, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Naesby
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 3rd Division
Naesby vs Vanlose
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanlose Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Naesby Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tomaselli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanlose 47 / 100
Naesby 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanlose Naesby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanlose Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vanlose scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Vanlose has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Naesby let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Vanlose VS Naesby
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanlose

(Home)
26 Sept
Vanlose
1 : 1
Bronshoj
19 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 1
Vanlose
13 Sept
Vanlose
1 : 0
Ishoj IF
09 Sept
Vanlose
2 : 1
Hillerod
05 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 2
Vanlose
Page 1 of 6

Naesby

(Away)
26 Sept
Ringsted
1 : 2
Naesby
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1
Helsingor
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 32 26 5 1 80:23 83
2 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 32 16 7 9 42:32 55
3 Naesby 32 16 5 11 63:50 53
4 Bronshoj 32 11 10 11 48:57 43
5 Vanlose 32 11 7 14 37:44 40
6 Horsholm-Usserod 32 9 6 17 47:63 33
Promotion - 2nd Division (Main)