Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Ataturk City Stadium

Erzurumspor FK

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vanspor FK play Erzurumspor FK in the 1. Lig 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vanspor FK averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Erzurumspor FK averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. In past meetings, Vanspor FK won 0, Erzurumspor FK won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Vanspor FK and 1.81 for Erzurumspor FK. This points to a Erzurumspor FK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Vanspor FK

26%

Draws

48%

Erzurumspor FK

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Erzurumspor FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Vanspor FK picked up more points recently compared to Erzurumspor FK.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Vanspor FK Clean Sheet 11%

Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vanspor FK	Erzurumspor FK
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	11	23
Draws	5	5
Losses	14	5
Goals Scored	1.53	2.3
Goals Conceded	1.47	0.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 1. Lig

Vanspor FK vs Erzurumspor FK

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 0 - 0

0:3

Oct 4, 2025 1. Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Vanspor FK

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Mar 7, 2015 3. Lig Group 3

Vanspor FK vs Erzurumspor FK

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Oct 18, 2014 3. Lig Group 3

Erzurumspor FK vs Vanspor FK

Possession: 55% - 60% Cards: 2 - 1

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanspor FK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Fettahoglu M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rodriguez M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanspor FK 26 / 100

Erzurumspor FK 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vanspor FK Erzurumspor FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Erzurumspor FK or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vanspor FK attacking → ← attacking Erzurumspor FK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanspor FK scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Erzurumspor FK let in goals in 48% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Vanspor FK went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Erzurumspor FK lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 74

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54