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Vanuatu U17 vs New Caledonia U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
45' Event
53' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-0, with Vanuatu U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Vanuatu U17
20%
Draws
16%
New Caledonia U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vanuatu U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Caledonia U17 come out ahead of Vanuatu U17 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vanuatu U17 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • New Caledonia U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor New Caledonia U17, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Vanuatu U17 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vanuatu U17 Clean Sheet 10%
New Caledonia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu U17 New Caledonia U17
Matches Played 22 34
Wins 10 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.77 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.45 3.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2017 OFC Championship U16
Vanuatu U17 vs New Caledonia U17
2:3
Jan 27, 2015 OFC Championship U16
Vanuatu U17 vs New Caledonia U17
6:0
Apr 25, 2013 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U17 vs Vanuatu U17
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu U17 83 / 100
New Caledonia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu U17 New Caledonia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanuatu U17's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

New Caledonia U17 let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

New Caledonia U17 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu U17 VS New Caledonia U17
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu U17

(Home)
22 Jan
New Zealand U17
1 : 0
Vanuatu U17
17 Jan
Vanuatu U17
2 : 1
Cook Islands U17
11 Jan
Tahiti U17
2 : 1
Vanuatu U17
18 Feb
Vanuatu U17
2 : 3
New Caledonia U17
15 Feb
Papua New Guinea U17
3 : 3
Vanuatu U17
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New Caledonia U17

(Away)
09 Nov
Morocco U17
16 : 0
New Caledonia U17
06 Nov
Japan U17
0 : 0
New Caledonia U17
03 Nov
New Caledonia U17
1 : 6
Portugal U17
17 Nov
Iran U17
5 : 0
New Caledonia U17
14 Nov
Brazil U17
9 : 0
New Caledonia U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
New Zealand U17 5
Vanuatu U17 1
Tahiti U17 3
New Caledonia U17 2
Final
New Zealand U17 2
Tahiti U17 1
Vanuatu U17 6
New Caledonia U17 0