Sport Picks

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Vanuatu U19 vs Samoa U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2022
Mon, Sep 12, 2022
0 - 3
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vanuatu U19 host Samoa U19 in the OFC Championship U19 2022. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Vanuatu U19 at 1.43 goals for, 2.3 against; Samoa U19 at 1.43 for, 2.29 against. Past meetings favor Samoa U19 slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (2.25 - 1.38) back Samoa U19 to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Vanuatu U19
20%
Draws
48%
Samoa U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samoa U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Vanuatu U19 have won more games recently than Samoa U19.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Vanuatu U19 Clean Sheet 17%
Samoa U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu U19 Samoa U19
Matches Played 23 14
Wins 7 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.3 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 OFC Championship U19
Samoa U19 vs Vanuatu U19
3:1
Sep 12, 2022 OFC Championship U19
Vanuatu U19 vs Samoa U19
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu U19 36 / 100
Samoa U19 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu U19 Samoa U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samoa U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Samoa U19 conceded in 86% of 14 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Vanuatu U19 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (23 games).

Samoa U19's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu U19 VS Samoa U19
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu U19

(Home)
12 Sept
Samoa U19
3 : 1
Vanuatu U19
08 Sept
Vanuatu U19
0 : 6
New Zealand U19
04 Sept
Vanuatu U19
1 : 1
Tahiti U19
01 Sept
Fiji U19
7 : 2
Vanuatu U19
21 Aug
Vanuatu U19
3 : 3
Australia U17
Page 1 of 5

Samoa U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Samoa U19
3 : 1
Vanuatu U19
07 Sept
Samoa U19
0 : 2
Solomon Islands U19
04 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
16 Jul
Tahiti U19
4 : 0
Samoa U19
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U19 3 3 0 0 23:0 9
2 Solomon Islands U19 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Cook Islands U19 3 1 0 2 4:11 3
4 American Samoa U19 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tahiti U19 3 2 1 0 11:0 7
2 Fiji U19 3 2 1 0 6:0 7
3 Papua New Guinea U19 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tonga U19 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Caledonia U19 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Samoa U19 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
3 Vanuatu U19 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams