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Vanuatu W vs Tonga W

World World

Olympic Games Women 2024
Vanuatu W Logo

Vanuatu W

1 - 2
FT
Tonga W Logo

Tonga W

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Aruvuha E.
10' Event
Swift S.
15' Event
Vunipola T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Olympic Games Women 2024 game between Vanuatu W and Tonga W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tonga W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vanuatu W
15%
Draws
39%
Tonga W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vanuatu W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vanuatu W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vanuatu W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Olympic Games Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Vanuatu W Clean Sheet 20%
Tonga W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu W Tonga W
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.12 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.16 3.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 OFC Nations Cup Women
Tonga W vs Vanuatu W
0:3
Feb 10, 2024 Olympic Games Women
Vanuatu W vs Tonga W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanuatu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aruvuha E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Tonga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Swift S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vunipola T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu W 85 / 100
Tonga W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu W Tonga W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tonga W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Vanuatu W found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (25 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Vanuatu W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu W VS Tonga W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu W

(Home)
23 Sept
Vanuatu W
5 : 0
New Caledonia W
20 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 1
Vanuatu W
17 Sept
Solomon Islands W
1 : 1
Vanuatu W
05 Mar
Vanuatu W
0 : 1
Fiji W
02 Mar
New Caledonia W
2 : 1
Vanuatu W
Page 1 of 5

Tonga W

(Away)
02 Dec
Tonga W
4 : 1
Tahiti W
28 Nov
Tonga W
0 : 3
American Samoa W
14 Jul
Cook Islands W
0 : 1
Tonga W
11 Jul
Solomon Islands W
5 : 0
Tonga W
08 Jul
Fiji W
3 : 0
Tonga W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solomon Islands W 3 2 1 0 11:3 7
2 Fiji W 3 2 0 1 15:6 6
3 Papua New Guinea W 3 1 1 1 13:5 4
4 American Samoa W 3 0 0 3 1:26 0
Promotion - Olympic Games Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Samoa W 3 2 0 1 3:6 6
3 Tonga W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Vanuatu W 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Olympic Games Women 2024 (Play Offs)