Sport Picks
Match Events
60'
60'
Nikolov B.
90'
90'
Mateski D.
90'
90'
Mateski D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ohrid
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ohrid come out ahead of Vardar on wins alone.
- Model gives Ohrid a 90% chance of winning this.
- Ohrid arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Vardar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Vardar Clean Sheet 16%
Ohrid Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vardar | Ohrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 20 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.57 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 24, 2026 Macedonian Cup
Vardar vs Ohrid
1:2
Feb 25, 2023 2. MFL
Ohrid vs Vardar
0:1
Aug 27, 2022 2. MFL
Vardar vs Ohrid
2:0
Jul 27, 2022 Club Friendly
Ohrid vs Vardar
0:0
Mar 12, 2022 2. MFL
Vardar vs Ohrid
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vardar Compare
Top Goalscorer Nikolov B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Ohrid Compare
Top Goalscorer Mateski D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.19
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vardar 10 / 100
Ohrid 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vardar Ohrid
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick OHR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vardar scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Ohrid let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Vardar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vardar VS Ohrid
2.38 Goals Scored 2.14
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.57
88% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Vardar
(Home) 28 Jul
Riga FC
5 : 2 Vardar
25 Jul
Vardar
2 : 0 Bregalnica Stip
22 Jul
Vardar
2 : 3 Riga FC
14 Jul
KuPS
2 : 3 Vardar
07 Jul
Vardar
0 : 2 KuPS
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Vardar
2 : 0 Bregalnica Stip
22 Jul
Vardar
2 : 3 Riga FC
07 Jul
Vardar
0 : 2 KuPS
23 May
Vardar
3 : 0 Shkendija Tetovo
09 May
Vardar
2 : 1 Sileks
Page 1 of 3
Ohrid
(Away) 18 Jul
Ohrid
1 : 0 Novaci
23 May
Ohrid
7 : 1 Sloga Vinica
16 May
Detonit Plackovica
0 : 2 Ohrid
10 May
Ohrid
3 : 0 Golemo Konjari
06 May
Sileks
1 : 0 Ohrid
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Detonit Plackovica
0 : 2 Ohrid
06 May
Sileks
1 : 0 Ohrid
02 May
FK Skopje
1 : 0 Ohrid
25 Apr
Teteks
1 : 2 Ohrid
11 Apr
Kamenica Sasa
1 : 1 Ohrid
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Vardar -
TBD -
Pcinja 0
Novaci 3
Ohrid 2
Brera Strumica 1
Kozuf Gevgelija 0
Shkupi 2
Belasica Strumica 3
Arsimi 2
Bashkimi 2008 1
Detonit Plackovica 4
Pobeda 0
Bashkimi 4
Evrotip Online 1
Sileks 7
Ljuboten Tetovo 0
Makedonija GP 14
TBD -
Struga -
Jeni Maale 0
Shkendija Tetovo 9
FK Skopje 0
Tikves 1
Shkendija Haracine 2
Kamenica Sasa 1
Teteks 1
Pelister 2
Karbinci 0
Rabotnicki 16
Pobeda Valandovo 0
Bregalnica Stip 6
1/8-finals
Vardar 3
Novaci 1
Ohrid 3
Shkupi 0
Belasica Strumica 0
Detonit Plackovica 1
Bashkimi 1
Sileks 2
Makedonija GP 0
Struga 5
Shkendija Tetovo 2
Tikves 0
Shkendija Haracine 1
Pelister 0
Rabotnicki 2
Bregalnica Stip 1
Quarter-finals
Vardar 1
Ohrid 2
Detonit Plackovica 0
Sileks 3
Struga 2
Shkendija Tetovo 3
Shkendija Haracine 3
Rabotnicki 1
Semi-finals
Ohrid 1
Sileks 2
Shkendija Tetovo 5
Shkendija Haracine 2
Final
Sileks 1
Shkendija Tetovo 0
